Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.272983 0.317929 0.367617 0.426574 0.494577 0.570512 0.661695
2025-04-13 0.190438 0.248169 0.319048 0.412259 0.531404 0.678380 0.873247
2025-04-20 0.152411 0.215333 0.298610 0.416444 0.578401 0.792655 1.097046
2025-04-27 0.133009 0.200685 0.295875 0.438760 0.646921 0.938098 1.375130
2025-05-04 0.116270 0.185802 0.288928 0.451868 0.701499 1.067857 1.644247
2025-05-11 0.101271 0.170474 0.278146 0.456306 0.741851 1.179272 1.896942
2025-05-18 0.087926 0.155299 0.264857 0.453992 0.769917 1.273189 2.131034
2025-05-25 0.076333 0.141042 0.250706 0.447666 0.789553 1.354303 2.351528
2025-06-01 0.067226 0.129594 0.239466 0.444244 0.812670 1.442135 2.590636
2025-06-08 0.057911 0.116310 0.223111 0.429389 0.813508 1.491322 2.767345
2025-06-15 0.055630 0.115880 0.229787 0.456850 0.892724 1.684065 3.215371
2025-06-22 0.048537 0.104984 0.215408 0.442788 0.893076 1.734710 3.409695
2025-06-29 0.042121 0.094668 0.201102 0.427600 0.890507 1.781511 3.605629
2025-07-06 0.036705 0.085673 0.188308 0.413894 0.889385 1.831230 3.813328
2025-07-13 0.033632 0.081314 0.184479 0.418128 0.924874 1.955544 4.180364
2025-07-20 0.032385 0.080887 0.188949 0.440533 1.000668 2.167895 4.746722
2025-07-27 0.030507 0.078699 0.189233 0.453691 1.057923 2.347473 5.262413
2025-08-03 0.028200 0.075119 0.185883 0.458147 1.096323 2.490786 5.714607
2025-08-10 0.025708 0.070694 0.179966 0.455823 1.118918 2.601778 6.106540
2025-08-17 0.023252 0.065987 0.172753 0.449473 1.131338 2.691268 6.458951
2025-08-24 0.021221 0.062093 0.167034 0.446038 1.150192 2.796839 6.857807
2025-08-31 0.018836 0.056860 0.157242 0.431125 1.139351 2.832714 7.097907
2025-09-07 0.018658 0.057819 0.163640 0.458693 1.237314 3.133816 7.995382